FA Cup 1/256
Global 5-3
Harrow Borough vs Margate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
49.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrow Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 0
BIL
22%
24%
54%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 1
WIN
39%
24%
38%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
DUL
1 - 4
HAR
77%
15%
9%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MER
5 - 0
HAR
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 1
WIN
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Margate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
HAS
1 - 2
MAR
27%
23%
50%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 1
HEM
26%
22%
52%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
HAS
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
GOS
1 - 0
MAR
41%
25%
35%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
BIG
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |