Harrow Borough vs Hartley Wintney analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
33.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrow Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
BLA
2 - 0
HAR
37%
23%
40%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
HAR
3 - 2
HAY
16%
18%
66%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +3 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
MER
2 - 2
HAR
62%
19%
19%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
HAR
2 - 0
WAL
50%
22%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
HEN
0 - 1
HAR
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hartley Wintney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
SWI
3 - 2
HAR
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2020 |
WES
2 - 1
HAR
57%
21%
23%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
HAR
2 - 2
WIM
55%
21%
23%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
GOS
0 - 1
HAR
61%
20%
19%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
HEN
2 - 2
HAR
38%
24%
39%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |