Harrow Borough vs Hartley Wintney analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
27.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrow Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CHE
0 - 4
HAR
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
HAR
0 - 1
GOS
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
HOR
1 - 0
HAR
43%
26%
31%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
HAR
1 - 1
SAL
34%
22%
44%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
HEN
2 - 4
HAR
73%
16%
11%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Hartley Wintney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
HAR
1 - 1
MER
57%
20%
23%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
STA
3 - 5
HAR
53%
20%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
WEY
2 - 2
HAR
72%
18%
11%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
BEA
3 - 3
HAR
58%
19%
22%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
DOR
2 - 0
HAR
49%
21%
30%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |