Harrow Borough vs Farnborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
13.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrow Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
HAM
2 - 2
HAR
57%
23%
21%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
HAR
0 - 2
MER
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CAN
1 - 0
HAR
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
BOG
1 - 0
HAR
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
HAR
1 - 2
ENF
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
FAR
3 - 0
VCD
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
LEI
4 - 2
FAR
73%
17%
10%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
BOG
4 - 1
FAR
81%
12%
7%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
FAR
1 - 4
DUL
23%
23%
55%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
TON
2 - 0
FAR
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |