Harrow Borough vs East Thurrock United FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
57.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrow Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
DUL
4 - 0
HAR
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 1
BIL
30%
25%
45%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +2 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
HAR
5 - 5
HEN
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
TON
3 - 3
HAR
61%
22%
18%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
ENF
3 - 0
HAR
58%
22%
21%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
East Thurrock United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
BUR
0 - 2
EAS
23%
22%
56%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
EAS
4 - 0
CAN
76%
15%
9%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
EAS
2 - 2
DUL
44%
24%
32%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
EAS
1 - 0
BUR
68%
19%
14%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
TON
1 - 2
EAS
37%
24%
39%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |