Harrow Borough vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
60.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrow Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
HAR
0 - 2
CON
32%
24%
44%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
HAR
0 - 1
HEN
34%
23%
43%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
HAR
1 - 2
AVE
40%
24%
36%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
HAS
2 - 0
HAR
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
SUT
2 - 1
HAR
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2010 |
CHE
5 - 2
STA
72%
18%
11%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
STE
0 - 0
CHE
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
CHE
4 - 3
STF
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
WYC
1 - 2
CHE
53%
25%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
CHE
2 - 1
SOU
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |