Harrogate Town vs York City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
TOW
4 - 1
ALD
71%
17%
12%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
SOL
2 - 0
TOW
41%
27%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
MAI
1 - 2
TOW
23%
23%
54%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
SAL
3 - 2
TOW
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
TOW
3 - 1
BRA
81%
13%
7%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
BOS
2 - 0
YOR
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
YOR
2 - 2
LEA
54%
24%
22%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
YOR
2 - 0
UNM
59%
21%
20%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
KID
1 - 3
YOR
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
ALT
3 - 0
YOR
67%
19%
15%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |