Harrogate Town vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
22.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
TOW
0 - 1
BRO
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
HAR
3 - 2
TOW
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
TOW
2 - 2
TRA
39%
28%
34%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
COL
1 - 0
TOW
28%
26%
46%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
TOW
6 - 1
SCU
70%
19%
12%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
WRE
1 - 1
GUL
38%
28%
34%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
MAI
3 - 2
WRE
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 3
WRE
19%
23%
58%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
WRE
2 - 0
MAR
51%
26%
23%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
WRE
29%
24%
47%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |