Harrogate Town vs Vauxhall Motors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
RFC
1 - 1
TOW
30%
26%
44%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
TOW
0 - 0
AFC
30%
27%
42%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
TOW
3 - 0
GLO
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2011 |
TOW
3 - 0
RED
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BOS
2 - 2
TOW
70%
19%
12%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Vauxhall Motors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
VAU
2 - 1
RED
78%
14%
8%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
VAU
2 - 6
BLY
25%
25%
51%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
COR
3 - 1
VAU
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
VAU
1 - 2
EAS
28%
25%
47%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
NUN
3 - 0
VAU
62%
22%
16%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |