Harrogate Town vs Tamworth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
34%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
SAL
0 - 0
TOW
66%
20%
15%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
TOW
1 - 4
DAR
25%
23%
52%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
TOW
0 - 2
KID
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
FYL
2 - 1
TOW
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
TOW
0 - 2
HAL
41%
25%
35%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
TAM
2 - 1
DAR
20%
23%
57%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
TAM
1 - 0
FYL
19%
22%
59%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 2
TAM
64%
20%
17%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
GAI
3 - 2
TAM
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
TAM
1 - 1
UNM
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |