Harrogate Town vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
CRA
2 - 2
TOW
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
POR
2 - 0
TOW
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
TOW
2 - 2
NEW
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 3
TOW
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
TOW
3 - 1
MAN
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
STE
0 - 4
FOR
33%
28%
39%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
SUT
2 - 1
STE
49%
27%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
STE
1 - 1
SWI
41%
26%
34%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
STE
3 - 4
TOT
66%
19%
15%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
WAL
1 - 0
STE
36%
29%
35%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |