Harrogate Town vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
35.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
WOR
2 - 0
TOW
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
TOW
1 - 2
MOO
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
HIN
0 - 1
TOW
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2005 |
TOW
2 - 1
BRA
55%
23%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
BAR
1 - 0
TOW
42%
24%
34%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
SOU
1 - 0
HUC
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
SOU
3 - 2
HIN
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2005 |
HUC
2 - 4
SOU
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
RED
3 - 2
SOU
30%
25%
46%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
VAU
0 - 3
SOU
23%
24%
53%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |