Harrogate Town vs Nuneaton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
56%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
TOW
2 - 0
STA
25%
23%
52%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
GUI
1 - 0
TOW
73%
17%
9%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
TOW
0 - 3
AFC
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2010 |
WIT
1 - 2
TOW
62%
21%
18%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
TOW
1 - 1
WIT
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Nuneaton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2011 |
STA
0 - 2
NUN
28%
24%
48%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
NUN
3 - 2
BLY
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
NUN
0 - 0
AFC
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
COR
2 - 3
NUN
34%
26%
41%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2010 |
RED
0 - 5
NUN
16%
21%
63%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |