Harrogate Town vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
35.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
TOW
1 - 0
BOR
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
TOW
1 - 1
BRO
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
CHE
3 - 4
TOW
28%
25%
46%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
FYL
2 - 3
TOW
24%
22%
54%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
TOW
3 - 0
EAS
66%
19%
15%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
NOT
2 - 0
BAR
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
NOT
4 - 0
EAS
64%
21%
16%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
NOT
3 - 1
ALD
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 2
NOT
44%
25%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
NOT
5 - 0
AVE
66%
20%
15%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |