FA Cup 1/64
Global 2-2
Harrogate Town vs Hastings United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
GAI
2 - 0
TOW
46%
24%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
STA
1 - 0
TOW
41%
24%
35%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
TOW
3 - 1
VAU
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
VAU
1 - 3
TOW
33%
24%
44%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
GUL
0 - 1
TOW
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Hastings United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
HAS
0 - 0
CAN
26%
25%
49%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
HAS
1 - 1
BOG
26%
24%
50%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
MET
4 - 0
HAS
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
HAS
3 - 2
ENF
27%
24%
49%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BIS
1 - 2
HAS
64%
21%
16%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +1 |