Harrogate Town vs Guiseley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
54.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
NUN
2 - 0
TOW
59%
23%
18%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
BAR
3 - 2
TOW
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
TOW
4 - 0
COL
28%
26%
47%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +4 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
SOL
5 - 1
TOW
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
WOR
0 - 1
TOW
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
GUI
2 - 1
BOS
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
GUI
2 - 0
UNM
55%
22%
23%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
BLY
1 - 2
GUI
17%
22%
61%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
GUI
2 - 1
WOR
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
GUI
7 - 0
EAS
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |