Harrogate Town vs Gloucester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
TOW
3 - 2
KID
80%
14%
7%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
TOW
3 - 2
BRI
80%
12%
8%
|
47 | 19 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
BRI
1 - 1
TOW
13%
18%
69%
|
48 | 16 | 32 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
KID
1 - 1
TOW
12%
19%
70%
|
48 | 18 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
TOW
3 - 1
STA
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Gloucester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
GLO
2 - 2
NUN
49%
25%
27%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 2
GLO
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
GLO
3 - 0
AFC
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
GLO
5 - 0
ALT
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
TAM
3 - 1
GLO
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |