Harrogate Town vs Gloucester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
GAI
0 - 1
TOW
50%
24%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
BOS
5 - 2
TOW
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
TOW
4 - 1
CHO
29%
25%
46%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
FYL
1 - 2
TOW
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
TOW
1 - 1
LEA
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gloucester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
GLO
1 - 7
OXF
41%
25%
35%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
GLO
1 - 1
COL
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
CHO
1 - 2
GLO
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
GLO
2 - 0
LOW
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2015 |
HED
3 - 1
GLO
59%
21%
21%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |