Harrogate Town vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
18.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
GIL
1 - 2
TOW
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
TOW
2 - 1
CHE
32%
25%
44%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2024 |
TOW
2 - 2
BPO
18%
20%
61%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
TOW
1 - 2
MOR
50%
24%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
TOW
1 - 0
WRE
14%
18%
68%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
GAI
1 - 0
CHE
43%
24%
33%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
GAI
3 - 0
WOR
73%
17%
11%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2024 |
WHI
0 - 2
GAI
19%
22%
60%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
HED
4 - 4
GAI
17%
20%
63%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CLI
1 - 4
GAI
24%
22%
54%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |