Harrogate Town vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
7.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
CUR
1 - 2
TOW
22%
24%
54%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2017 |
BRA
0 - 2
TOW
24%
24%
53%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
TOW
0 - 0
BRA
76%
15%
9%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
TOW
2 - 0
YOR
48%
23%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
TOW
3 - 0
PEN
84%
11%
5%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
TAM
1 - 2
GAI
76%
15%
9%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
GAI
2 - 0
LEA
36%
25%
39%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +4 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
LEA
0 - 0
GAI
59%
21%
19%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
GAI
0 - 1
SAL
12%
20%
68%
|
26 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
SPE
1 - 2
GAI
74%
17%
9%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | +1 |