Harrogate Town vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
11.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
UNM
2 - 2
TOW
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
TOW
1 - 0
BRA
79%
14%
7%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
TOW
6 - 3
ALF
48%
23%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2017 |
STO
1 - 1
TOW
61%
22%
18%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
TOW
0 - 1
STO
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
GAI
2 - 2
STA
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
ALT
2 - 3
GAI
42%
23%
35%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
AFC
1 - 1
GAI
53%
23%
25%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2017 |
GAI
1 - 2
BOS
32%
25%
43%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
BOS
1 - 1
GAI
64%
20%
17%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |