Harrogate Town vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
14.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
TOW
2 - 2
COL
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 0
TOW
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
ALT
1 - 3
TOW
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
TOW
2 - 1
SOL
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
COL
2 - 1
TOW
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ALT
3 - 0
GAI
70%
18%
13%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
BRA
4 - 0
GAI
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
GAI
3 - 3
GLO
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
GAI
1 - 4
NOR
24%
24%
52%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
HED
1 - 3
GAI
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |