National League North Playoff Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Harrogate Town vs Fylde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
40.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
TOW
5 - 0
COR
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
FYL
2 - 1
TOW
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
TOW
0 - 0
BOS
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
NUN
0 - 0
TOW
44%
27%
30%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ALF
3 - 2
TOW
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fylde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
WOR
2 - 2
FYL
23%
24%
53%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
FYL
2 - 1
TOW
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
TAM
3 - 1
FYL
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
FYL
1 - 0
BRA
73%
17%
11%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
FYL
2 - 3
NOR
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |