Harrogate Town vs Fylde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
39.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
COR
0 - 3
TOW
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
TOW
1 - 2
ALF
57%
22%
22%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2015 |
BOS
3 - 3
TOW
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
TOW
1 - 0
WOR
61%
22%
18%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
TOW
1 - 4
GRI
26%
26%
48%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Fylde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
NOR
3 - 0
FYL
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
FYL
2 - 2
BRA
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
MIL
3 - 1
FYL
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
FYL
5 - 0
STA
72%
17%
11%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
FYL
1 - 0
BAR
87%
10%
3%
|
53 | 8 | 45 | -1 |