Harrogate Town vs Curzon Ashton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
HAL
0 - 1
TOW
59%
22%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
TOW
3 - 1
NUN
51%
24%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 3
TOW
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
GAI
0 - 2
TOW
27%
26%
47%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
TOW
2 - 2
ALT
54%
23%
24%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
CUR
0 - 2
SAL
24%
24%
52%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ALT
2 - 4
CUR
43%
26%
32%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
CUR
1 - 1
AFC
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
CUR
1 - 2
DAR
23%
23%
54%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
ALF
0 - 1
CUR
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |