Harrogate Town vs Colwyn Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 0
TOW
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
ALT
1 - 3
TOW
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
TOW
2 - 1
SOL
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
COL
2 - 1
TOW
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 2
TOW
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
COL
1 - 3
HED
40%
24%
36%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 2
COL
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
COL
2 - 1
TOW
35%
26%
39%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
COL
1 - 2
BAR
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
COL
1 - 1
GLO
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |