Harrogate Town vs Chorley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
STO
2 - 2
TOW
58%
23%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
NOR
0 - 2
TOW
27%
25%
48%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
TOW
4 - 0
NUN
43%
23%
34%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
FAR
3 - 1
TOW
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
AFC
0 - 0
TOW
27%
26%
48%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 1
CUR
52%
25%
24%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
CHO
0 - 1
SAL
32%
26%
43%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
KID
0 - 1
CHO
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2017 |
WIG
14 - 0
CHO
65%
21%
13%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
CHO
0 - 3
BPO
21%
25%
55%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |