Harrogate Town vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
43.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
DON
0 - 1
TOW
27%
25%
48%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
HAR
1 - 2
TOW
33%
23%
44%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
GAT
2 - 0
TOW
34%
23%
43%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
SOU
1 - 6
TOW
23%
22%
55%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
DAR
0 - 2
TOW
14%
19%
67%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
CUM
1 - 1
FLE
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
CUM
0 - 2
DUN
45%
25%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
CHO
1 - 1
CUM
12%
19%
70%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
NWC
0 - 2
CUM
9%
14%
78%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
WOR
0 - 3
CUM
11%
18%
72%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |