Harrogate Town vs Bradford Park Avenue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
27.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
LEA
1 - 2
TOW
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
TOW
2 - 1
STA
62%
21%
18%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
TOW
2 - 2
AFC
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
VAU
1 - 0
TOW
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
TOW
2 - 3
GUI
33%
25%
41%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Bradford Park Avenue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2014 |
BRA
3 - 2
LEA
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 2
HED
35%
24%
42%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
GLO
2 - 3
BRA
34%
24%
42%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
BRA
6 - 1
WOR
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 1
BRA
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |