Harrogate Town vs Altrincham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
TOW
2 - 0
BOS
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
WOR
2 - 2
TOW
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
TOW
2 - 1
YOR
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
CLE
2 - 3
TOW
22%
23%
55%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2016 |
GAR
0 - 1
TOW
20%
22%
58%
|
46 | 11 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
HAL
2 - 2
ALT
68%
18%
14%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
ALT
2 - 2
DAR
23%
24%
53%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
WIT
0 - 5
ALT
24%
25%
52%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
ALT
1 - 1
CRE
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
WID
2 - 2
ALT
12%
17%
71%
|
44 | 17 | 27 | 0 |