Harrogate Town vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
8.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
KID
0 - 2
TOW
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
LEA
1 - 3
TOW
20%
23%
57%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
BIL
3 - 2
TOW
53%
23%
25%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
TOW
2 - 2
BIL
38%
23%
39%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
TOW
2 - 1
AFC
80%
14%
7%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
ALF
2 - 3
SAL
19%
23%
59%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
ALF
2 - 1
TAM
41%
23%
36%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
GAI
2 - 1
ALF
46%
23%
32%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
BLY
0 - 1
ALF
74%
15%
11%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
ALF
4 - 1
LEA
31%
25%
44%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +4 |