Penn FC vs Wilmington Hammerheads analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penn FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 4
PNN
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 2
PNN
46%
28%
27%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
RIC
2 - 0
PNN
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
REA
1 - 0
PNN
29%
22%
49%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
PNN
2 - 2
ORL
68%
19%
14%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Wilmington Hammerheads
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
WIL
2 - 1
ARI
57%
23%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
POR
5 - 1
WIL
71%
17%
12%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2013 |
VSI
1 - 0
WIL
35%
24%
41%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
ORL
4 - 1
WIL
35%
24%
41%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
AUS
0 - 2
WIL
42%
22%
36%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +2 |