Penn FC vs Wilmington Hammerheads analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penn FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
PNN
3 - 1
RBN
18%
21%
61%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
PNN
1 - 1
RIC
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2012 |
PNN
3 - 3
NER
28%
22%
50%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
PNN
1 - 0
ROC
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
PNN
2 - 0
LON
62%
20%
18%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Wilmington Hammerheads
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
ROC
1 - 1
WIL
46%
28%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
WIL
3 - 1
ORL
24%
29%
48%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
RIC
3 - 1
WIL
49%
27%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
WIL
0 - 4
CAL
83%
12%
5%
|
59 | 26 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
WIL
1 - 1
CHA
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |