Penn FC vs VSI Tampa Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penn FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
PNN
1 - 2
CHA
54%
24%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
ORA
2 - 2
PNN
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
ARI
1 - 3
PNN
31%
25%
44%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
PNN
5 - 1
DAY
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
ORL
3 - 1
PNN
38%
27%
36%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
VSI Tampa Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
PIT
3 - 2
VSI
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
ORL
3 - 2
VSI
65%
21%
15%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2013 |
VSI
0 - 3
ORL
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
VSI
1 - 2
PIT
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2013 |
RIC
0 - 0
VSI
69%
20%
11%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |