Penn FC vs Toronto II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
11.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penn FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
PNN
1 - 3
NYO
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
PNN
2 - 2
CHA
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
PNN
0 - 2
PIT
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PNN
1 - 2
CIN
19%
24%
57%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
PNN
0 - 3
LOU
22%
24%
54%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Toronto II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
NSC
2 - 2
TOR
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
TOR
1 - 3
LOU
11%
19%
70%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 2
TOR
71%
19%
10%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
TOR
0 - 1
OTT
18%
23%
59%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
PHU
4 - 0
TOR
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |