Penn FC vs Toronto II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
15.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penn FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
PNN
0 - 3
RIC
42%
24%
34%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2016 |
PIT
0 - 0
PNN
48%
23%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
PNN
1 - 3
CHA
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
PNN
2 - 3
MON
74%
16%
10%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 0
PNN
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Toronto II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
TOR
3 - 2
PHU
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
WIL
3 - 0
TOR
65%
20%
15%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 1
CHA
22%
24%
54%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
LOU
4 - 1
TOR
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
CIN
2 - 1
TOR
76%
16%
8%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |