Penn FC vs Toronto II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
10.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penn FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2016 |
PNN
3 - 1
PHU
53%
22%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
0 - 2
PNN
8%
13%
80%
|
48 | 9 | 39 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2016 |
PNN
2 - 3
CHA
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
PNN
1 - 1
CIN
30%
24%
46%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 1
PNN
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Toronto II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
PIT
2 - 1
TOR
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 0
TOR
70%
19%
12%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 0
RIC
24%
24%
53%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 2
LOU
22%
24%
54%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
RIC
1 - 0
TOR
69%
19%
13%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |