Penn FC vs Rochester New York analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
37.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penn FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
TAM
3 - 0
PNN
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
ORL
0 - 0
PNN
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
CIN
3 - 0
PNN
62%
22%
17%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
PNN
1 - 1
CHA
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
PNN
1 - 0
RIC
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Rochester New York
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
NYO
2 - 1
ROC
43%
28%
30%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
CIN
2 - 3
ROC
52%
27%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
ROC
2 - 0
TOR
63%
23%
14%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
ROC
0 - 0
PIT
57%
25%
19%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
OTT
1 - 1
ROC
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |