Penn FC vs Rochester New York analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penn FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
ROC
2 - 2
PNN
33%
27%
40%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
ORL
3 - 1
PNN
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
PNN
3 - 2
ORL
27%
26%
47%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | +2 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
PNN
3 - 1
NYR
75%
15%
10%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
DAY
0 - 1
PNN
31%
24%
46%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Rochester New York
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
ROC
2 - 2
PNN
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
CHA
3 - 1
ROC
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 1
ROC
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
ROC
0 - 1
ORA
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
ROC
0 - 0
CHA
37%
28%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |