Penn FC vs Rochester New York analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
20.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penn FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
PIT
1 - 2
PNN
29%
25%
47%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 1
PNN
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ORA
0 - 1
PNN
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
ORA
2 - 2
PNN
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
RIC
2 - 2
PNN
47%
27%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rochester New York
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
RIC
4 - 1
ROC
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 0
ROC
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2013 |
ORL
3 - 1
ROC
26%
26%
48%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
VSI
3 - 0
ROC
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
ROC
1 - 1
CHA
45%
28%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |