Penn FC vs Orange County SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penn FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
PIT
0 - 2
PNN
32%
25%
43%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
DAY
2 - 1
PNN
32%
25%
43%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
PNN
0 - 0
DAY
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
PNN
1 - 1
ANT
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2012 |
PIT
2 - 3
PNN
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
ROC
1 - 0
ORA
57%
25%
18%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
ANT
0 - 2
ORA
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
ANT
0 - 3
ORA
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2012 |
ORA
0 - 4
ORL
19%
26%
55%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2012 |
ORA
0 - 1
ORL
19%
26%
55%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |