Penn FC vs Orange County SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penn FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
PNN
5 - 1
NYO
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
WIL
3 - 1
PNN
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 1
PNN
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
PNN
2 - 2
DAY
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
PNN
4 - 0
CHA
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
RIC
1 - 2
ORA
64%
23%
14%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
ORA
4 - 1
DAY
62%
22%
17%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2011 |
ORA
1 - 1
DAY
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
WIL
4 - 2
ORA
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 0
ORA
53%
27%
21%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |