Penn FC vs Dayton Dutch Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penn FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
PNN
1 - 1
ANT
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2012 |
PIT
2 - 3
PNN
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
ROC
1 - 2
PNN
47%
28%
26%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
PHU
5 - 2
PNN
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 1
PNN
43%
29%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Dayton Dutch Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
ROC
2 - 0
DAY
64%
23%
13%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
DAY
1 - 0
PIT
42%
25%
34%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
DAY
2 - 2
ORL
19%
26%
56%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
KCW
3 - 0
DAY
86%
11%
3%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
DAY
4 - 0
WIL
27%
25%
48%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +2 |