Penn FC vs Dayton Dutch Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penn FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2012 |
PNN
0 - 0
PIT
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
RIC
2 - 2
PNN
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
PNN
1 - 2
CHA
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
WIL
0 - 0
PNN
54%
25%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 2
PNN
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Dayton Dutch Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2012 |
ROC
1 - 1
DAY
70%
21%
9%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
DAY
0 - 1
ORA
34%
25%
42%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
DAY
1 - 1
RIC
27%
26%
47%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
DAY
0 - 1
ROC
23%
27%
50%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
PIT
2 - 0
DAY
65%
21%
15%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |