Penn FC vs Phoenix Rising analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penn FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
PNN
0 - 4
CHA
48%
24%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SAC
1 - 2
PNN
49%
24%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
ORA
4 - 1
PNN
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
PNN
0 - 1
DAY
66%
19%
15%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
WIL
0 - 0
PNN
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Phoenix Rising
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
RIC
4 - 0
ARI
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ARI
2 - 1
CHA
30%
24%
46%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ARI
1 - 1
LAG
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
ARI
2 - 1
SAC
39%
25%
35%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
ARI
3 - 4
ROC
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -2 |