Tercera Playoffs Galicia Semi-finals
Global 3-4
Haro Deportivo vs Racing Cartagena Mar Menor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haro Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 2
HAR
46%
24%
31%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
SAR
1 - 0
HAR
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
HAR
0 - 1
SAR
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
HAR
2 - 0
OYO
74%
16%
9%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
VIA
0 - 1
HAR
14%
20%
67%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 2
HAR
46%
24%
31%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
EST
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
EST
1 - 1
MAR
39%
27%
35%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 0
FOR
81%
13%
6%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
BAL
0 - 3
MAR
17%
23%
61%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |