Härnösand vs Morön analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Härnösand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
HUD
0 - 1
HAR
76%
16%
8%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 1
ANG
81%
12%
7%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 2
SOD
67%
18%
14%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 3
HAR
40%
23%
37%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
IFK
1 - 2
HAR
68%
17%
15%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Morön
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 2
SKE
32%
23%
45%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
STR
1 - 1
MOR
47%
23%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ANG
1 - 1
MOR
34%
21%
45%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
MOR
3 - 0
GAL
51%
21%
28%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 2
HUD
15%
22%
63%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |