Harlow Town vs Thurrock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
37.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harlow Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
HAR
2 - 1
LEA
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
MER
2 - 0
HAR
64%
19%
17%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
HAR
4 - 3
MET
28%
23%
49%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
FOL
1 - 1
HAR
81%
12%
7%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
HAR
2 - 4
STA
25%
22%
53%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
THU
0 - 0
LEI
24%
23%
53%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
BRI
1 - 3
THU
43%
24%
34%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
THU
4 - 1
TOO
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
WIN
2 - 4
THU
61%
21%
18%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
BUR
2 - 5
THU
42%
24%
35%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +2 |