Harlow Town vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
44.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harlow Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
LEW
2 - 1
HAR
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
WHI
2 - 3
HAR
62%
21%
17%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
HAR
0 - 1
BRI
49%
21%
30%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
KIN
7 - 0
HAR
67%
19%
15%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
HAR
0 - 4
CAR
40%
23%
37%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
HOR
1 - 1
MER
57%
22%
21%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
MER
2 - 0
EAS
72%
17%
11%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
MER
1 - 1
BIS
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
ENF
0 - 0
MER
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
MER
2 - 0
CAR
38%
23%
39%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |