Harleston Town vs Downham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
33%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harleston Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
HFC
0 - 0
HTF
14%
17%
69%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 4
HTF
20%
20%
61%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
HTF
1 - 4
DER
37%
23%
40%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
HAD
4 - 2
HTF
24%
21%
55%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
HTF
2 - 1
FAK
53%
21%
26%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Downham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
THE
3 - 2
DTF
61%
20%
20%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
DTF
5 - 1
MUL
28%
22%
51%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +3 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
FAK
0 - 2
DTF
50%
22%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MIL
2 - 0
DTF
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
DER
2 - 2
DTF
64%
19%
18%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |